Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 17:00 UK
Kasimpasa 40Draw 28Trabzonspor 32
The call
68%
Kasimpasa or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Kasimpasa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Kasimpasa at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Kasimpasa had 9 shots (4 on target) to Trabzonspor's 13 (5), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

KasimpasaFull-time statsTrabzonspor
40%Possession60%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
9Shots13
4Shots on target5
5Shots inside box8
3Big chances2
3Corners10
4Saves3
17Fouls9
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKasimpasa 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callKasimpasa or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Kasimpasa to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Trabzonspor to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor?

Kasimpasa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Kasimpasa at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Kasimpasa had 9 shots (4 on target) to Trabzonspor's 13 (5), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor?

Kasimpasa 1–1 Trabzonspor, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kasimpasa 40%, the draw 28% and Trabzonspor 32%.

What were the stats in Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 9–13, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 5–8, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–10, Saves 4–3, Fouls 17–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor?

Yes — both Kasimpasa and Trabzonspor scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Kasimpasa 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Kasimpasa or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Kasimpasa form →Trabzonspor form →