FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 JuventusMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Juventus or Draw✓
Juventus Over 11.5 Shots✗
Juventus Over 2.5 Shots on Target✓
Juventus Over 2.5 Corners✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
AZ Alkmaar win
21%
Draw
23%
Juventus win
55%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.