Internazionale vs Udinese prediction — Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 19:45 UK
Internazionale 67Draw 20Udinese 13
The call
67%
Internazionale to win
3.0
Goals expected
10d 09hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Internazionale to score89%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Internazionale
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Lautaro Martínez
FW · 4.6 shots expected
99%
84%
55%
Marcus Thuram
FW · 4.2 shots expected
99%
81%
49%
Francesco Pio Esposito
FW · 4.0 shots expected
98%
79%
46%
Hakan Çalhanoglu
MF · 3.0 shots expected
95%
61%
25%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
MF · 2.8 shots expected
94%
58%
21%
Federico Dimarco
MF · 2.6 shots expected
93%
56%
20%
Udinese
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Nicolò Zaniolo
FW · 1.9 shots expected
85%
47%
13%
Keinan Davis
FW · 1.5 shots expected
78%
52%
16%
Arthur Atta
MF · 1.3 shots expected
72%
35%
7%
Jakub Piotrowski
MF · 1.2 shots expected
69%
28%
4%
Adam Buksa
FW · 1.1 shots expected
68%
42%
11%
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
MF · 0.9 shots expected
58%
31%
5%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W D D W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5INT 4 · D 0 · UDI 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Udinese 0–1 Inter
Aug 2025Inter 1–2 Udinese
Mar 2025Inter 2–1 Udinese
Dec 2024Inter 2–0 Udinese
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Common questions

Who will win Internazionale vs Udinese?

Bawler's model rates this match: Internazionale are favoured (67% win probability vs 13% for Udinese, 20% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Internazionale vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Internazionale 2-0 Udinese (11.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.00.

How does Bawler predict Internazionale vs Udinese?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Internazionale 67%, the draw 20% and Udinese 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Udinese?

BTTS: No (50% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 2.16 and away expected goals 0.83.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Internazionale vs Udinese?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.00. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Internazionale form →Udinese form →