Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:00 UK
Gornik Zabrze 23Draw 25AS Monaco 52
Our call before kickoff
77%
AS Monaco or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 3–2. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Gornik Zabrze had 17 shots (6 on target) to AS Monaco's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.4.

Gornik ZabrzeFull-time statsAS Monaco
51%Possession49%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.4
17Shots14
6Shots on target6
9Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
7Corners4
3Saves4
13Fouls15
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAS Monaco or draw 77%AS Monaco won (52% called)
Total goals2.95
Both teams to score55%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Gornik ZabrzeAS Monaco
1.1
Goals+0.7
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AS Monaco to score83%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Gornik Zabrze to score67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.7 / match
AS Monaco in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 3–2. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Gornik Zabrze had 17 shots (6 on target) to AS Monaco's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco?

Gornik Zabrze 2–3 AS Monaco, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gornik Zabrze 23%, the draw 25% and AS Monaco 52%.

What were the stats in Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.4, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco?

Yes — both Gornik Zabrze and AS Monaco scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Monaco or draw 77%, it finished AS Monaco won (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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Gornik Zabrze
Next up
27 AugAAS Monaco1–4 L
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