AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 3–2. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Gornik Zabrze had 17 shots (6 on target) to AS Monaco's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 3–2. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Gornik Zabrze had 17 shots (6 on target) to AS Monaco's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.4.
Gornik Zabrze 2–3 AS Monaco, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gornik Zabrze 23%, the draw 25% and AS Monaco 52%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.4, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Gornik Zabrze and AS Monaco scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Monaco or draw 77%, it finished AS Monaco won (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.