Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK
Gibraltar 44Draw 27Andorra 29
The call
71%
Gibraltar or draw
2.7
Goals expected
12d 17hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Gibraltar to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Andorra to score70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5GIB 2 · D 1 · AND 0

Head to head

Sept 2024Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra
Nov 2022Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra
Jun 2021Andorra 0–0 Gibraltar
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Common questions

Who will win Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Bawler's model rates this match: Gibraltar are favoured (44% win probability vs 29% for Andorra, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Gibraltar vs Andorra?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.72.

How does Bawler predict Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Gibraltar 44%, the draw 27% and Andorra 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.52 and away expected goals 1.20.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.72. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Andorra
Before this
24 SeptHMalta17:00
All fixtures & results →Gibraltar form →Andorra form →