What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
Bawler's model rates this match: Northern Ireland are favoured (39% win probability vs 34% for Georgia, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Georgia 1-1 Northern Ireland (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.75.
How does Bawler predict Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Georgia 34%, the draw 27% and Northern Ireland 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.31 and away expected goals 1.44.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.75. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).