Match prediction·TURKEY: Super Lig·Friday 14 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Galatasaray vs Çorum FK

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
57.2% home26.4% draw16.4% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
GalatasaraystepÇorum FK
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Galatasaray average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Not both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
26%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Galatasaray fixtures & form →Çorum FK fixtures & form →

Galatasaray vs Çorum FK — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Galatasaray and Çorum FK — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Galatasaray 57% · draw 26% · Çorum FK 16%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Galatasaray predictions & form →Çorum FK predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.