FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 11:15 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 11:15 UK
FC Utrecht 28Draw 24PSV Eindhoven 48
The call
84%
Over 1.5 goals
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–6

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 6–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Utrecht had 1 shots (1 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 30 (14), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.6.

FC UtrechtFull-time statsPSV Eindhoven
34%Possession66%
0.3Expected goals (xG)3.6
1Shots30
1Shots on target14
1Shots inside box15
1Big chances5
0Corners13
7Saves0
21Fouls8
1Offsides1
5Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPSV Eindhoven 48%PSV Eindhoven (48% called)
Total goals3.37
Both teams to score64%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 84%Landed
Second callX2 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
PSV Eindhoven to score85%
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Utrecht to score76%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

FC UtrechtBefore half-timePSV Eindhoven
41%Chance to score58%
6.9Expected shots6.2
2.0Expected shots on target2.6
2.8Expected corners2.6
66%Chance of 6+ shots56%
38%Chance of 8+ shots29%
60%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
15%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
75%Chance of 2+ corners72%
31%Chance of 4+ corners28%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5UTR 0 · D 2 · PSV 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026PSV Eindhoven 4–3 FC Utrecht
Dec 2025FC Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
Feb 2025PSV Eindhoven 2–2 FC Utrecht
Dec 2024FC Utrecht 2–5 PSV Eindhoven
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 6–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Utrecht had 1 shots (1 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 30 (14), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.6.

What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

FC Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 28%, the draw 24% and PSV Eindhoven 48%.

What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–3.6, Shots 1–30, Shots on target 1–14, Shots inside box 1–15, Big chances 1–5, Corners 0–13, Saves 7–0, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–1.

Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Yes — both FC Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven scored, finishing 1–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said PSV Eindhoven 48%, it finished PSV Eindhoven (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said X2 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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