Netherlands: EredivisieSunday 30 Aug, 10:15 UTC

FC Utrecht vPSV Eindhoven

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.85 goals expected
FC Utrecht 41%Draw 30%PSV Eindhoven 28%
How we get there
FC UtrechtstepPSV Eindhoven
1.58Base xG · rolling 26-match1.27
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.58Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.27

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Utrecht average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). PSV average 6.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
7
5
2
1
1
9
12
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
2
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
1
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Utrecht fixtures & form →PSV Eindhoven fixtures & form →

Utrecht vs PSV — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Utrecht and PSV — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Utrecht 41% · draw 30% · PSV 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Utrecht predictions & form →PSV predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.