What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
Bawler's model rates this match: FC Thun are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Lech Poznan, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is FC Thun 1-1 Lech Poznan (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives FC Thun 40%, the draw 28% and Lech Poznan 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).