FC Porto vs Alverca prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 18:00 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 18:00 UK
FC Porto 63Draw 27Alverca 11
The call
77%
FC Porto to win
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

FC Porto beat Alverca 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. FC Porto had 10 shots (4 on target) to Alverca's 15 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.7.

FC PortoFull-time statsAlverca
54%Possession46%
2.6Expected goals (xG)1.7
10Shots15
4Shots on target5
8Shots inside box8
3Big chances3
7Corners9
5Saves2
13Fouls10
0Offsides0
0Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Porto 63%FC Porto (63% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score41%No
Model callHome Win 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Porto to score84%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Both teams to score — no60%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won FC Porto vs Alverca?

FC Porto beat Alverca 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. FC Porto had 10 shots (4 on target) to Alverca's 15 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.7.

What was the final score in FC Porto vs Alverca?

FC Porto 2–0 Alverca, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Porto 63%, the draw 27% and Alverca 11%.

What were the stats in FC Porto vs Alverca?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.7, Shots 10–15, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 7–9, Saves 5–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 0–4.

Did both teams score in FC Porto vs Alverca?

No. It finished 2–0, so Alverca failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Porto vs Alverca right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Porto 63%, it finished FC Porto (63% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 41%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →FC Porto form →Alverca form →