How it finished
Fortuna Sittard beat FC Groningen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured FC Groningen at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fortuna Sittard 19%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. FC Groningen had 22 shots (2 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 9 (5), with 68% of the ball against 32%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so FC Groningen created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 80%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard beat FC Groningen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured FC Groningen at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fortuna Sittard 19%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. FC Groningen had 22 shots (2 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 9 (5), with 68% of the ball against 32%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so FC Groningen created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
FC Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Groningen 60%, the draw 21% and Fortuna Sittard 19%.
What were the stats in FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.9, Shots 22–9, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 16–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Yes — both FC Groningen and Fortuna Sittard scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Groningen 60%, it finished Fortuna Sittard (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.