FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 0–1 MarseilleMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw✗
Bayer Leverkusen Over 14.5 Shots✗
Patrik Schick 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Bayer Leverkusen win
61%
Draw
20%
Marseille win
19%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.2
Total 3.6
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.