CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK
CSU Craiova 60Draw 23Ararat-Armenia 17
Our call before kickoff
60%
CSU Craiova to win
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

CSU Craiova and Ararat-Armenia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured CSU Craiova at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. CSU Craiova had 15 shots (7 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 8 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

CSU CraiovaFull-time statsArarat-Armenia
58%Possession42%
15Shots8
7Shots on target2
8Corners4
15Fouls5
3Offsides3
4Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCSU Craiova to win 60%Draw (23% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score50%Yes
Graded pickCSU Craiova or draw 83%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CSU CraiovaArarat-Armenia
1.9
Goals+1.0
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
CSU Craiova to score85%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Ararat-Armenia in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

CSU Craiova and Ararat-Armenia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured CSU Craiova at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. CSU Craiova had 15 shots (7 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 8 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

What was the final score in CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

CSU Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSU Craiova 60%, the draw 23% and Ararat-Armenia 17%.

What were the stats in CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 15–8, Shots on target 7–2, Corners 8–4, Fouls 15–5, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–0.

Did both teams score in CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

Yes — both CSU Craiova and Ararat-Armenia scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CSU Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CSU Craiova to win 60%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said CSU Craiova or draw 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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