Trabzonspor on top: Franculino to test the keeper, and Bilal Boutobba kept busy stopping them.
Trabzonspor go into this Süper Lig match as strong favourites on our numbers: 75% to win, against 9% for Eyupspor and 17% for a draw. Our predicted score is Trabzonspor 2–0 Eyupspor, at 12%. We expect 3.3 goals in total: 2.5 for Trabzonspor and 0.8 for Eyupspor. Both teams scoring is only 49% and three or more goals is 63%.
Of their last four meetings on our records, Trabzonspor have won three, Eyupspor none, and one was drawn. When they last met, it finished Eyüpspor 0–1 Trabzonspor, in Mar 2026. For cards, Taras Stepanenko (Eyupspor) has been booked once every 2 games in 2025/26, more often than anyone else here.
On form, Trabzonspor have five wins, no draws and one defeat from their last six games, and Eyupspor have no wins, no draws and six defeats. On shots, our forecast is 20.5 for Trabzonspor and 10.3 for Eyupspor, with 6.0 and 3.1 on target, and corners at 6.9 to 3.1. So we expect Trabzonspor to do more of the shooting. Bawler's pick for this game is Trabzonspor or Draw, Bilal Boutobba 1+ Foul Committed and Franculino 1+ Shot on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 49% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.06).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Trabzonspor to win is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Bawler's model rates this match: Trabzonspor are favoured (75% win probability vs 9% for Eyupspor, 17% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Trabzonspor 2-0 Eyupspor: the most likely score if Trabzonspor win, which is the likeliest result (75%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.8%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Trabzonspor 75%, the draw 17% and Eyupspor 9%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 49% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Trabzonspor expecting 2.50 goals and Eyupspor 0.77.
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Trabzonspor or Draw (91%), Bilal Boutobba 1+ Foul Committed (71%), Franculino 1+ Shot on Target (68%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.06). 18+, please gamble responsibly.