FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Trabzonspor 0–1 SC FreiburgMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
SC Freiburg or Draw✓
SC Freiburg Over 12.5 Shots✗
Igor Matanović 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Trabzonspor win
26%
Draw
25%
SC Freiburg win
49%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.8
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.