CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK
CSKA Sofia 46Draw 26OFI Crete 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
CSKA Sofia or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

OFI Crete beat CSKA Sofia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CSKA Sofia had 19 shots (6 on target) to OFI Crete's 16 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.

CSKA SofiaFull-time statsOFI Crete
56%Possession44%
1.3Expected goals (xG)2.4
19Shots16
6Shots on target7
10Shots inside box12
1Big chances5
6Corners5
5Saves6
15Fouls16
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCSKA Sofia or draw 72%OFI Crete won (28% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CSKA SofiaOFI Crete
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
CSKA Sofia to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
OFI Crete to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
OFI Crete in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?

OFI Crete beat CSKA Sofia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CSKA Sofia had 19 shots (6 on target) to OFI Crete's 16 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.

What was the final score in CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?

CSKA Sofia 0–2 OFI Crete, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA Sofia 46%, the draw 26% and OFI Crete 28%.

What were the stats in CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.4, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 1–5, Corners 6–5, Saves 5–6, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?

No. It finished 0–2, so CSKA Sofia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CSKA Sofia or draw 72%, it finished OFI Crete won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →CSKA Sofia form →OFI Crete form →