What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
Bawler's model rates this match: CSKA Sofia are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for OFI Crete, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is CSKA Sofia 1-1 OFI Crete (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives CSKA Sofia 40%, the draw 28% and OFI Crete 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).