OFI Crete beat CSKA Sofia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CSKA Sofia had 19 shots (6 on target) to OFI Crete's 16 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
OFI Crete beat CSKA Sofia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CSKA Sofia had 19 shots (6 on target) to OFI Crete's 16 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.
CSKA Sofia 0–2 OFI Crete, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA Sofia 46%, the draw 26% and OFI Crete 28%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.4, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 1–5, Corners 6–5, Saves 5–6, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so CSKA Sofia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CSKA Sofia or draw 72%, it finished OFI Crete won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.