Como beat Parma 2–1. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Como beat Parma 2–1. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.
Como 2–1 Parma, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 69%, the draw 20% and Parma 10%.
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–1.2, Shots 28–12, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 24–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 11–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 8–4, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Como and Parma scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 42% before kickoff.