Colombia vs Paraguay prediction — International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 01:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 01:00 UK · Neutral venue
66Colombia win23Draw11Paraguay win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Paraguay beat Colombia 1–0. Colombia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Paraguay's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

ColombiaFull-time statsParaguay
58%Possession42%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
14Shots5
2Shots on target2
7Shots inside box3
1Big chances1
3Corners1
1Saves2
14Fouls20
3Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
We expected
1–0
16% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.8v0.6
2.4 in total
Both teams score
38%
No
3+ goals
43%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

ColombiaColombiaParaguayParaguay
1.8Goals0.6
ColombiaColombiaParaguayParaguay
0.8Goals0.3
ColombiaColombiaParaguayParaguay
1.0Goals0.3

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Colombia to score84%
3 goals or fewer78%
2 or more goals69%
Goal before half-time66%

First half — what we expected

Colombia
55%
to score before half-time
Paraguay
24%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Mar 2025Colombia 2–2 Paraguay
Jun 2024Colombia 2–1 Paraguay
Nov 2023Paraguay 0–1 Colombia
Nov 2022Paraguay 0–2 Colombia
Nov 2021Colombia 0–0 Paraguay
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Paraguay
Before this
27 SeptABolivia2–0 W
Next up
17 NovAJapan13:10
All fixtures & results →Colombia form →Paraguay form →

Common questions

Who won Colombia vs Paraguay?

Paraguay beat Colombia 1–0. Colombia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Paraguay's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Colombia vs Paraguay?

Colombia 0–1 Paraguay, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colombia 66%, the draw 23% and Paraguay 11%.

What were the stats in Colombia vs Paraguay?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–1, Saves 1–2, Fouls 14–20, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Colombia vs Paraguay?

No. It finished 0–1, so Colombia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.