Bawler / World: World Cup / Colombia
Team profile · World: World Cup

Colombia Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
8 settled
Goals for
1.43
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.25
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
4/8 calls

Colombia prediction: Bawler's model rates Colombia at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Colombia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Colombia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.25. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.13 goals a game against 1.43 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Colombia have been correct 50% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 2D 2L
Real goals
1.1 – 0.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Colombia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Above average
Goals against
1.25
Tighter than most
Scored1.43
Conceded1.25

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

📊 Colombia in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 0.3
🏠 0.7✈️ 3.0
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 2.7
🏠 4.3
21.3
Shots · per game
faced 9.3
🏠 21.3
7.7
On target · per game
faced 1.0
🏠 7.7
🗓️ Last 4 games
04 Jul
1-0
vs Ghana
🚩 3-2
27 Jun
0-0
vs Portugal
🚩 5-2
24 Jun
1-0
vs Congo DR
🚩 5-4
18 Jun
3-1
@ Uzbekistan
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Colombia matches
50%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Colombia fixture, it is right 4 out of 8 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Colombia prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly