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FT · World: International Friendly · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Mexico 1–1 ColombiaMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Mexico
1–1
Draw
Colombia

Pre-match probability vs result

Mexico win
40%
Draw
30%
Result
Colombia win
30%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.1
Total 2.4
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 0.6
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.4.

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