How it finished
Burnley beat Notts County 2–1. Bawler's model had Burnley in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Burnley had 12 shots (4 on target) to Notts County's 6 (2), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Burnley vs Notts County?
Burnley beat Notts County 2–1. Bawler's model had Burnley in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Burnley had 12 shots (4 on target) to Notts County's 6 (2), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Burnley vs Notts County?
Burnley 2–1 Notts County, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burnley 40%, the draw 28% and Notts County 32%.
What were the stats in Burnley vs Notts County?
Full-time: Possession 74%–26%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.4, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–2, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Burnley vs Notts County?
Yes — both Burnley and Notts County scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Burnley vs Notts County right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Burnley 40%, it finished Burnley (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Burnley or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.