Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelBrighton & Hove Albion on top, with Charalampos Kostoulas our likeliest to test the keeper.
Brighton & Hove Albion v CSU Craiova prediction
Our model gives Brighton & Hove Albion an 83% chance of winning this Conference League game. A CSU Craiova win is 5% and a draw 12%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Brighton & Hove Albion 2–0 CSU Craiova, at 13%. Our expected goals are 2.8 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.6 for CSU Craiova, 3.4 in all. There is a 41% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 66%.
Of the players, Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton & Hove Albion) tops both our lists, with 3.6 shots and 1.1 on target expected if they start. Chema Andrés of Brighton & Hove Albion is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to have 16.9 shots (4.0 on target) and CSU Craiova 10.4 (4.5 on target), and corners at 6.2 to 3.3. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion doing more of the attacking.
Brighton & Hove Albion come in with three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last six. CSU Craiova have four wins, two draws and no defeats over the same run. Bawler's pick combines Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw, Brighton & Hove Albion Over 12.5 Shots and Charalampos Kostoulas 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 55%, a fair price of 5/6 (1.83).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Brighton & Hove Albion · last 6
CSU Craiova · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Brighton & Hove Albion to win is 83% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs CSU Craiova?
Bawler's model rates this match: Brighton & Hove Albion are favoured (83% win probability vs 5% for CSU Craiova, 12% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs CSU Craiova?
Bawler's predicted score is Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 CSU Craiova: the most likely score if Brighton & Hove Albion win, which is the likeliest result (83%). Our model puts that exact score at 13.2%. Expected total goals: 3.4.
How does Bawler predict Brighton & Hove Albion vs CSU Craiova?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Brighton & Hove Albion 83%, the draw 12% and CSU Craiova 5%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs CSU Craiova?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 41% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Brighton & Hove Albion expecting 2.83 goals and CSU Craiova 0.58.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove Albion vs CSU Craiova?
Bawler's model expects 3.4 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 66%.
When are the Brighton & Hove Albion v CSU Craiova line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Brighton & Hove Albion v CSU Craiova?
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw (95%), Brighton & Hove Albion Over 12.5 Shots (80%), Charalampos Kostoulas 1+ Shot on Target (63%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 55% chance, a fair price of 5/6 (1.83). 18+, please gamble responsibly.