FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion 2–0 BrentfordMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickVoid
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw✓
Brighton & Hove Albion Over 13.5 Shots✓
Georginio Rutter 2+ ShotsVoid
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Brighton & Hove Albion win
50%
Result
Draw
25%
Brentford win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.2
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.