Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Bolton Wanderers 36Draw 27Lincoln City 36
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Lincoln City beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bolton Wanderers at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 21 shots (6 on target) to Lincoln City's 8 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.1, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

Bolton…Full-time statsLincoln City
69%Possession31%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
21Shots8
6Shots on target2
13Shots inside box5
2Big chances1
14Corners2
1Saves7
6Fouls15
0Offsides4
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBolton Wanderers 36%Lincoln City (36% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals76%
Bolton Wanderers to score75%
Lincoln City to score75%
Under 3.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

Bolton WanderersBefore half-timeLincoln City
46%Chance to score46%
3.8Expected shots5.7
1.1Expected shots on target2.3
0.2Expected corners2.5
33%Chance of 5+ shots65%
11%Chance of 7+ shots35%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
11%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
16%Chance of 1+ corners90%
0%Chance of 3+ corners44%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 70%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BOL 2 · D 2 · LIN 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Lincoln City 1–1 Bolton Wanderers
Aug 2025Bolton Wanderers 1–1 Lincoln City
Apr 2025Lincoln City 4–2 Bolton Wanderers
Jan 2025Lincoln City 0–1 Bolton Wanderers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

Lincoln City beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bolton Wanderers at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 21 shots (6 on target) to Lincoln City's 8 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.1, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Lincoln City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 36%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 36%.

What were the stats in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.1, Shots 21–8, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 14–2, Saves 1–7, Fouls 6–15, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

No. It finished 0–1, so Bolton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bolton Wanderers 36%, it finished Lincoln City (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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