Match prediction·Italy: Serie A·Monday 24 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Bologna vs Lazio

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
44.5% home30.6% draw25.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
BolognastepLazio
1.43Base xG · rolling 26-match0.93
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.43Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.93

Bologna average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Lazio average 2.9 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
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0
9
9
4
1
1
13
13
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
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1
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2
1
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home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Bologna fixtures & form →Lazio fixtures & form →

Bologna vs Lazio — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 22 March 2026, Bologna have won 0, Lazio have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
22 March 2026Bologna 0–2 LazioITALY: Serie A

The model's verdict for this fixture: Bologna 44% · draw 31% · Lazio 25%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Bologna predictions & form →Lazio predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.