Bologna vs Lazio prediction — Serie A · Mon 24 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Mon 24 Aug · 17:30 UK
Bologna 44Draw 28Lazio 28
The call
72%
Bologna or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.

BolognaFull-time statsLazio
59%Possession41%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.6
14Shots10
5Shots on target3
11Shots inside box5
3Big chances1
8Corners6
2Saves3
18Fouls19
2Offsides3
4Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBologna 44%Lazio (28% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score51%No
Model call1X 72%Missed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Bologna to score76%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Lazio to score67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BOL 1 · D 2 · LAZ 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Bologna 0–2 Lazio
Feb 2026Bologna 1–1 Lazio
Dec 2025Lazio 1–1 Bologna
Mar 2025Bologna 5–0 Lazio
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bologna vs Lazio?

Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Bologna vs Lazio?

Bologna 0–1 Lazio, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bologna 44%, the draw 28% and Lazio 28%.

What were the stats in Bologna vs Lazio?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.6, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–6, Saves 2–3, Fouls 18–19, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 4–4.

Did both teams score in Bologna vs Lazio?

No. It finished 0–1, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bologna vs Lazio right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bologna 44%, it finished Lazio (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Bologna form →Lazio form →