Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Bologna 0–1 Lazio, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bologna 44%, the draw 28% and Lazio 28%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.6, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–6, Saves 2–3, Fouls 18–19, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 4–4.
No. It finished 0–1, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bologna 44%, it finished Lazio (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.