Match prediction·EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification·Thursday 13 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Besiktas vs FC Hradec Králové

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
40.0% home28.0% draw32.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
BesiktasstepFC Hradec Králové
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Besiktas average 6.3 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Hradec Kralove average 5.7 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Besiktas or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Besiktas Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Besiktas vs Hradec Králové — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Besiktas have won 1, Hradec Králové have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Hradec Králové 01 BesiktasEUROPE: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Besiktas 40% · draw 28% · Hradec Králové 32%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.