FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Panathinaikos 2–2 FC Hradec KrálovéMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Panathinaikos or draw at 80%. Bawler had Panathinaikos at 54%, the draw at 25% and FC Hradec Králové at 20%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Panathinaikos win
54%
Draw
25%
Result
FC Hradec Králové win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 0.9
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Panathinaikos or draw
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Panathinaikos to win
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 27%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.