Spain: La LigaMonday 31 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Barcelona vRayo Vallecano

Most likely scoreline
2–0
10% of the time · 3.26 goals expected
Barcelona 65%Draw 22%Rayo Vallecano 13%
How we get there
BarcelonastepRayo Vallecano
2.31Base xG · rolling 26-match0.96
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.31Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.96

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Barcelona average 6.9 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Rayo Vallecano average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (27 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
4
2
1
1
9
8
4
1
2
10
10
5
1
3
8
7
4
1
4
5
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Barcelona fixtures & form →Rayo Vallecano fixtures & form →

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 22 March 2026, Barcelona have won 1, Rayo Vallecano have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
22 March 2026Barcelona 1–0 Rayo VallecanoSPAIN: LaLiga

The model's verdict for this fixture: Barcelona 65% · draw 22% · Rayo Vallecano 13%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Barcelona predictions & form →Rayo Vallecano predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.