What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
Bawler's model rates this match: Brazil are favoured (53% win probability vs 21% for Australia, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Brazil?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Australia 1-1 Brazil (12.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.57.
How does Bawler predict Australia vs Brazil?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Australia 21%, the draw 26% and Brazil 53%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Australia vs Brazil?
BTTS: No (51% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 0.94 and away expected goals 1.63.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Australia vs Brazil?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.57. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).