Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction — LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 16:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 16:00 UK
Athletic Club 53Draw 26Sevilla 21
The call
79%
Athletic Club or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAthletic Club 53%Sevilla (21% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model call1X 79%Missed
Second callHome Win 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Athletic Club to score80%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Sevilla to score60%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATH 3 · D 1 · SEV 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jan 2026Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club
Aug 2025Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla
Mar 2025Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club
Sept 2024Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4.

What was the final score in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 53%, the draw 26% and Sevilla 21%.

Did both teams score in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Yes — both Athletic Club and Sevilla scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Athletic Club vs Sevilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Athletic Club 53%, it finished Sevilla (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 79%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Athletic Club form →Sevilla form →