How it finished
Ararat-Armenia beat CSU Craiova 1–0. Bawler's model favoured CSU Craiova at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Ararat-Armenia 28%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Ararat-Armenia had 5 shots (2 on target) to CSU Craiova's 22 (7), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.4, so CSU Craiova created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Ararat-Armenia vs CSU Craiova?
Ararat-Armenia beat CSU Craiova 1–0. Bawler's model favoured CSU Craiova at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Ararat-Armenia 28%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Ararat-Armenia had 5 shots (2 on target) to CSU Craiova's 22 (7), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.4, so CSU Craiova created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Ararat-Armenia vs CSU Craiova?
Ararat-Armenia 1–0 CSU Craiova, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ararat-Armenia 28%, the draw 26% and CSU Craiova 45%.
What were the stats in Ararat-Armenia vs CSU Craiova?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.4, Shots 5–22, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 3–15, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–7, Saves 7–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs CSU Craiova?
No. It finished 1–0, so CSU Craiova failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs CSU Craiova right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CSU Craiova or draw 72%, it finished Ararat-Armenia won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed.