Match prediction·Belgium: Pro League·Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Antwerp vs Racing Genk

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
35.1% home35.9% draw29.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
AntwerpstepRacing Genk
1.16Base xG · rolling 26-match1.03
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.16Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.03

Antwerp average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Racing Genk average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
11
12
6
2
1
1
13
13
7
2
1
2
8
8
4
1
3
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Antwerp vs Racing Genk — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 19 May 2026, Antwerp have won 0, Racing Genk have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
19 May 2026Racing Genk 00 AntwerpBelgium: Pro League

The model's verdict for this fixture: Antwerp 35% · draw 36% · Racing Genk 29%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.