Angers vs Lille prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK
Angers 23Draw 27Lille 51
The call
77%
Lille or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Lille beat Angers 2–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Angers had 20 shots (2 on target) to Lille's 11 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.2, so Angers created the better chances and still lost the game.

AngersFull-time statsLille
57%Possession43%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.2
20Shots11
2Shots on target8
13Shots inside box7
3Big chances2
8Corners3
6Saves2
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLille 51%Lille (51% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score49%No
Model callX2 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Lille to score79%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Angers to score62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ANG 1 · D 0 · LIL 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Angers 0–1 Lille
Nov 2025Lille 1–0 Angers
Apr 2025Angers 0–2 Lille
Aug 2024Lille 2–0 Angers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Angers vs Lille?

Lille beat Angers 2–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Angers had 20 shots (2 on target) to Lille's 11 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.2, so Angers created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Angers vs Lille?

Angers 0–2 Lille, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Angers 23%, the draw 27% and Lille 51%.

What were the stats in Angers vs Lille?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.2, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 8–3, Saves 6–2, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Angers vs Lille?

No. It finished 0–2, so Angers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Angers vs Lille right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lille 51%, it finished Lille (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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