Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK
Anderlecht 63Draw 21Kairat Almaty 16
The call
63%
Anderlecht to win
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.

AnderlechtFull-time statsKairat Almaty
58%Possession42%
3.2Expected goals (xG)0.3
15Shots6
8Shots on target3
12Shots inside box2
6Big chances1
7Corners3
3Saves5
13Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAnderlecht 63%Anderlecht (63% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score56%No
Model callHome Win 63%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Anderlecht to score88%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Kairat Almaty to score63%
Under 3.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

AnderlechtBefore half-timeKairat Almaty
53%Chance to score22%
13.0Expected shots4.8
4.3Expected shots on target1.1
4.8Expected corners2.1
63%Chance of 12+ shots1%
43%Chance of 14+ shots0%
65%Chance of 3+ shots on target11%
42%Chance of 5+ shots on target1%
68%Chance of 4+ corners17%
35%Chance of 6+ corners3%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 64%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 63%, the draw 21% and Kairat Almaty 16%.

What were the stats in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–0.3, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

No. It finished 3–0, so Kairat Almaty failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Anderlecht 63%, it finished Anderlecht (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 63%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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