Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Riyadh in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Riyadh had 11 shots (5 on target) to Al Kholood's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Riyadh in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Riyadh had 11 shots (5 on target) to Al Kholood's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
Al Riyadh 2–0 Al Kholood, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Riyadh 38%, the draw 26% and Al Kholood 36%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 2–0, Corners 0–11, Saves 3–3, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 2–0, so Al Kholood failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Riyadh or draw 64%, it finished Al Riyadh won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.