Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 13 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 13 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Riyadh 38Draw 26Al Kholood 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
Al Riyadh or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Riyadh in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Riyadh had 11 shots (5 on target) to Al Kholood's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

Al RiyadhFull-time statsAl Kholood
40%Possession60%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.5
11Shots14
5Shots on target3
6Shots inside box5
2Big chances0
0Corners11
3Saves3
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Riyadh or draw 64%Al Riyadh won (38% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al RiyadhAl Kholood
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.4
13.4
Shots+4.0
17.4
2.3
On target+4.0
6.3
3.3
Corners+1.3
4.5
Al RiyadhAl Kholood
0.5
Goals
0.5
6.0
Shots+2.1
8.1
1.0
On target+1.7
2.7
1.5
Corners+0.6
2.1
Al RiyadhAl Kholood
1.0
Goals+0.1
0.9
7.3
Shots+1.9
9.2
1.3
On target+2.3
3.6
1.7
Corners+0.7
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
Al Riyadh to score78%
Al Kholood to score76%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Al Riyadh
49%
to score before half-time
Al Kholood
51%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Al RiyadhAl Kholood
6.01st-half shots8.1
1.01st-half shots on target2.7
1.51st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

39%Chance of 7+ shots64%
20%Chance of 9+ shots42%
25%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
72%Chance of 1+ corners83%
21%Chance of 3+ corners35%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Riyadh6.07.3
Shots · Al Kholood8.19.2
Shots on target · Al Riyadh1.01.3
Shots on target · Al Kholood2.73.6
Corners · Al Riyadh1.51.7
Corners · Al Kholood2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Al Riyadh 3 · Draws 0 · Al Kholood 1
Al Kholood in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Kholood 0–2 Al Riyadh
Oct 2025Al Riyadh 1–0 Al Kholood
Feb 2025Al Kholood 3–2 Al Riyadh
Aug 2024Al Riyadh 3–1 Al Kholood
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Riyadh in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Riyadh had 11 shots (5 on target) to Al Kholood's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Al Riyadh 2–0 Al Kholood, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Riyadh 38%, the draw 26% and Al Kholood 36%.

What were the stats in Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 2–0, Corners 0–11, Saves 3–3, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

No. It finished 2–0, so Al Kholood failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Riyadh or draw 64%, it finished Al Riyadh won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Riyadh form →Al Kholood form →