How it finished
Al Nassr beat Al Taawoun 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Taawoun's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 3.9, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun?
Al Nassr beat Al Taawoun 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Taawoun's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 3.9, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun?
Al Nassr 2–1 Al Taawoun, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Nassr 72%, the draw 18% and Al Taawoun 11%.
What were the stats in Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–3.9, Shots 12–23, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 4–17, Big chances 3–7, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun?
Yes — both Al Nassr and Al Taawoun scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 72%, it finished Al Nassr won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.