Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 19:00 UK
58Al Nassr win24Draw18Al Diriyah win
Full time
3–0

How it finished

Al Nassr beat Al Diriyah 3–0. Al Nassr had 17 shots (10 on target) to Al Diriyah's 10 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.

Al NassrFull-time statsAl Diriyah
52%Possession48%
2.5Expected goals (xG)0.6
17Shots10
10Shots on target1
14Shots inside box8
6Big chances1
10Corners8
1Saves6
15Fouls4
3Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Al Nassr to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.8v0.9
2.7 in total
Both teams score
50%
Coin flip
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al NassrAl NassrAl DiriyahAl Diriyah
1.8Goals0.9
12.1Shots6.9
4.9On target1.9
6.9Corners3.8
Al NassrAl NassrAl DiriyahAl Diriyah
0.8Goals0.5
5.7Shots3.2
2.2On target0.9
3.2Corners1.8
Al NassrAl NassrAl DiriyahAl Diriyah
1.0Goals0.4
6.3Shots3.8
2.7On target1.1
3.6Corners2.0

What we said the chances were

Al Nassr to score84%
2 or more goals76%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer71%

First half — what we expected

Al Nassr
55%
to score before half-time
Al Diriyah
40%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al NassrAl NassrAl DiriyahAl Diriyah
62%5+ shots24%
36%7+ shots<10%
86%1+ shots on target54%
38%3+ shots on target<10%
78%2+ corners49%
40%4+ corners14%

League position

Al Diriyah in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Aug 2026Al Diriyah 1–4 Al Nassr FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Nassr form →Al Diriyah form →

Common questions

Who won Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al Nassr beat Al Diriyah 3–0. Al Nassr had 17 shots (10 on target) to Al Diriyah's 10 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al Nassr 3–0 Al Diriyah, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Nassr 58%, the draw 24% and Al Diriyah 18%.

What were the stats in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.6, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 10–1, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 6–1, Corners 10–8, Saves 1–6, Fouls 15–4, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

No. It finished 3–0, so Al Diriyah failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.