How it finished
Al-Faisaly and Al Fateh drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Fateh at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Al-Faisaly had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Fateh's 14 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?
Al-Faisaly and Al Fateh drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Fateh at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Al-Faisaly had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Fateh's 14 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?
Al-Faisaly 1–1 Al Fateh, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al-Faisaly 15%, the draw 20% and Al Fateh 65%.
What were the stats in Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.7, Shots 12–14, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 4–4, Corners 2–4, Saves 6–3, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?
Yes — both Al-Faisaly and Al Fateh scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fateh to win 65%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes.