Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh prediction — Saudi Pro League · Wed 26 Aug · 17:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Wed 26 Aug · 17:00 UK
Al-Faisaly 7Draw 13Al Fateh 80
The call
80%
Al Fateh to win
3.7
Goals expected
16:16Until lineups lock

What we expect

Al Fateh to score94%
Over 1.5 goals88%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-2.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AFA 1 · D 1 · AFA 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2022Al-Faisaly 1–0 Al Fateh FC
Feb 2022Al Fateh FC 4–1 Al-Faisaly
Apr 2021Al-Faisaly 2–3 Al Fateh FC
Dec 2020Al Fateh FC 3–2 Al-Faisaly
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Common questions

Who will win Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Fateh are favoured (80% win probability vs 7% for Al-Faisaly, 13% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al-Faisaly 0-2 Al Fateh (10.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.65.

How does Bawler predict Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al-Faisaly 7%, the draw 13% and Al Fateh 80%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.77 and away expected goals 2.88.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al-Faisaly vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.65. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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Al-Faisaly
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5 SeptHAl Hazem16:50
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