Al Diriyah and Abha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Diriyah at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Al Diriyah had 13 shots (1 on target) to Abha's 10 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 59%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Diriyah and Abha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Diriyah at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Al Diriyah had 13 shots (1 on target) to Abha's 10 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
Al Diriyah 0–0 Abha, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Diriyah 55%, the draw 26% and Abha 19%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.8, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 3–1, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 0–0, so Al Diriyah failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Diriyah or draw 81%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.