Al Diriyah vs Abha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 13 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 13 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Diriyah 55Draw 26Abha 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Al Diriyah or draw
Landed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
59%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Al Diriyah and Abha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Diriyah at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Al Diriyah had 13 shots (1 on target) to Abha's 10 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.

Al DiriyahFull-time statsAbha
52%Possession48%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.8
13Shots10
1Shots on target3
10Shots inside box6
4Big chances1
7Corners1
3Saves1
9Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Diriyah or draw 81%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.60
Both teams to score47%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al DiriyahAbha
1.7
Goals+0.8
0.9
17.0
Shots+7.2
9.9
3.9
On target+1.3
2.7
5.7
Corners+2.9
2.8
Al DiriyahAbha
0.5
Goals+0.3
0.2
7.8
Shots+3.7
4.1
1.6
On target+0.5
1.1
2.7
Corners+1.4
1.3
Al DiriyahAbha
1.2
Goals+0.5
0.7
9.2
Shots+3.4
5.8
2.3
On target+0.7
1.5
3.0
Corners+1.5
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Al Diriyah to score81%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%

First half — what we expected

Al Diriyah
49%
to score before half-time
Abha
20%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 59%

Al DiriyahAbha
7.81st-half shots4.1
1.61st-half shots on target1.1
2.71st-half corners1.3

First-half chances

61%Chance of 7+ shots16%
38%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
76%Chance of 1+ shots on target62%
24%Chance of 3+ shots on target12%
69%Chance of 2+ corners36%
29%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Diriyah7.89.2
Shots · Abha4.15.8
Shots on target · Al Diriyah1.62.3
Shots on target · Abha1.11.5
Corners · Al Diriyah2.73.0
Corners · Abha1.31.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Al Diriyah 1 · Draws 0 · Abha 1
Abha in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Al Diriyah 2–0 Abha
Jan 2026Abha 2–1 Al Diriyah
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Al Diriyah and Abha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Diriyah at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Al Diriyah had 13 shots (1 on target) to Abha's 10 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Al Diriyah 0–0 Abha, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Diriyah 55%, the draw 26% and Abha 19%.

What were the stats in Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.8, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 3–1, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Abha?

No. It finished 0–0, so Al Diriyah failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Diriyah vs Abha right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Diriyah or draw 81%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Diriyah form →Abha form →