How it finished
Al Ahli beat Al Riyadh 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ahli had 16 shots (8 on target) to Al Riyadh's 12 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh?
Al Ahli beat Al Riyadh 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ahli had 16 shots (8 on target) to Al Riyadh's 12 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh?
Al Ahli 5–0 Al Riyadh, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ahli 77%, the draw 15% and Al Riyadh 7%.
What were the stats in Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.3–0.8, Shots 16–12, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 6–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh?
No. It finished 5–0, so Al Riyadh failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ahli to win 77%, it finished Al Ahli won (77% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.