What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?
Bawler's model rates this match: AEK Athens are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Levski Sofia, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is AEK Athens 1-1 Levski Sofia (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives AEK Athens 40%, the draw 28% and Levski Sofia 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).