AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK
AEK Athens 73Draw 17Levski Sofia 10
Our call before kickoff
73%
AEK Athens to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

AEK Athens beat Levski Sofia 4–0. Bawler's model had AEK Athens in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AEK Athens had 18 shots (7 on target) to Levski Sofia's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.5.

AEK AthensFull-time statsLevski Sofia
48%Possession52%
3.1Expected goals (xG)0.5
18Shots11
7Shots on target3
12Shots inside box3
5Big chances0
6Corners3
3Saves3
16Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAEK Athens to win 73%AEK Athens won (73% called)
Total goals3.44
Both teams to score53%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AEK AthensLevski Sofia
2.5
Goals+1.7
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
AEK Athens to score92%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.7 / match
Levski Sofia in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?

AEK Athens beat Levski Sofia 4–0. Bawler's model had AEK Athens in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AEK Athens had 18 shots (7 on target) to Levski Sofia's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.5.

What was the final score in AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?

AEK Athens 4–0 Levski Sofia, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with AEK Athens 73%, the draw 17% and Levski Sofia 10%.

What were the stats in AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–0.5, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 5–0, Corners 6–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia?

No. It finished 4–0, so Levski Sofia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AEK Athens to win 73%, it finished AEK Athens won (73% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →AEK Athens form →Levski Sofia form →