BAWLER
World Cup 2026 · Group C

Scotland at World Cup 2026

Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA rank
#42
Official ranking
Win the group
21.5%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
42.0%
Round of 16
Win the cup
1.54%
Lift the trophy

Bawler's full forecast for Scotland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group C alongside Brazil, Morocco, and Haiti. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Scotland's path to the trophy

Probability Scotland reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group
21.5%
Round of 16
42.0%
Quarter-finals
31.0%
Semi-finals
17.2%
Final
6.26%
Win it all
1.54%

Group C

Group C forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

TeamFIFATop 2R16QFSFWinner
Brazil#587.8%100.0%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Morocco#1280.9%100.0%100.0%0.00%0.00%
Scotland#4221.5%42.0%31.0%17.2%1.54%
Haiti#859.77%22.3%14.3%6.77%0.18%

Fixtures

Scotland's World Cup fixtures

3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

14 Jun, 02:00FT
Haiti v Scotland0–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals70%
19 Jun, 23:00FT
Scotland v Morocco0–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals74%
24 Jun, 23:00FT
Scotland v Brazil0–3
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals75%