Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Italy prediction: Bawler's model rates Italy at 1.51 expected goals scored and 0.99 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 4 settled matches. No Italy fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Italy carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.51 expected goals per game against a International Friendly average of 1.14. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 4. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Italy have been correct 50% of the time.
The last 4 settled results, most recent first.
How Italy compare with the World: International Friendly average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: International Friendly average (1.14 scored, 1.15 conceded).