How it finished
France and Italy drew 1–1. France had 18 shots (8 on target) to Italy's 14 (2), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won France vs Italy?
France and Italy drew 1–1. France had 18 shots (8 on target) to Italy's 14 (2), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
What was the final score in France vs Italy?
France 1–1 Italy, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with France 72%, the draw 17% and Italy 11%.
What were the stats in France vs Italy?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.5, Shots 18–14, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–7, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in France vs Italy?
Yes — both France and Italy scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.