How it finished
France beat Belgium 4–1. France had 23 shots (8 on target) to Belgium's 5 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won France vs Belgium?
France beat Belgium 4–1. France had 23 shots (8 on target) to Belgium's 5 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.6.
What was the final score in France vs Belgium?
France 4–1 Belgium, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with France 44%, the draw 25% and Belgium 31%.
What were the stats in France vs Belgium?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.6, Shots 23–5, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 14–3, Big chances 3–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 4–8, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in France vs Belgium?
Yes — both France and Belgium scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.