What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler's model rates this match: Sint-Truidense are favoured (48% win probability vs 26% for Waasland-Beveren, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Waasland-Beveren 1-1 Sint-Truidense (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.88.
How does Bawler predict Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Waasland-Beveren 26%, the draw 26% and Sint-Truidense 48%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?
BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.19 and away expected goals 1.69.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.88. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).