VfB Stuttgart on top, with Deniz Undav our likeliest to test the keeper.
VfB Stuttgart go into this Bundesliga match as strong favourites on our numbers: 61% to win, against 19% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 21% for a draw. If you want one score, our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, at 9%. VfB Stuttgart are expected to score 2.3 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.2, 3.5 between them. Both teams scoring is 63% and three or more goals is 68%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt have two wins each, with one draw. When they last met, it finished Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB Stuttgart, in May 2026. On form, VfB Stuttgart have three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six games, and Eintracht Frankfurt have three wins, one draw and two defeats.
Deniz Undav is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.8 shots and 1.3 on target for VfB Stuttgart, if they start. For cards, Raphael Onyedika (Eintracht Frankfurt) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On shots, our forecast is 19.3 for VfB Stuttgart and 10.1 for Eintracht Frankfurt, with 7.3 and 3.3 on target, and corners at 6.6 to 3.2. So we expect VfB Stuttgart to do more of the shooting. Bawler's pick combines VfB Stuttgart or Draw, VfB Stuttgart Over 14.5 Shots and Deniz Undav 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 51%, a fair price of 10/11 (1.95).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
VfB Stuttgart to win is 61% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: VfB Stuttgart are favoured (61% win probability vs 19% for Eintracht Frankfurt, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt: the most likely score if VfB Stuttgart win, which is the likeliest result (61%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.5%. Expected total goals: 3.5.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives VfB Stuttgart 61%, the draw 21% and Eintracht Frankfurt 19%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 63% chance. That is based on VfB Stuttgart expecting 2.28 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.22.
Bawler's model expects 3.5 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
VfB Stuttgart or Draw (81%), VfB Stuttgart Over 14.5 Shots (80%), Deniz Undav 1+ Shot on Target (69%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 51% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.95). 18+, please gamble responsibly.