Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Younes Ebnoutalib and Adam Hložek both getting shots away.
Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim prediction
Our model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 43%, the draw 24% and TSG Hoffenheim 33%, so Eintracht Frankfurt start as favourites. Our predicted score is Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim, the likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win score (9%). We expect 3.3 goals in total: 1.8 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.5 for TSG Hoffenheim. Both sides are more likely than not to score (65%) and three or more goals is 64%.
Eintracht Frankfurt come in with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six. TSG Hoffenheim have three wins, two draws and one defeat over the same run. Adam Hložek (TSG Hoffenheim) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 3.0 shots if they start. Younes Ebnoutalib (Eintracht Frankfurt) leads for shots on target, at 1.1. Raphael Onyedika of Eintracht Frankfurt is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to have 12.8 shots (4.5 on target) and TSG Hoffenheim 14.2 (4.8 on target), and corners at 5.0 to 5.1. Of their last five meetings on our records, Eintracht Frankfurt have won three, TSG Hoffenheim one, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Hoffenheim, in Jan 2026. Bawler's pick for this game is Both Teams to Score, Over 22.5 Total Shots, Younes Ebnoutalib 1+ Shot and Adam Hložek 1+ Shot. Our model gives all four landing together a 52% chance, which makes the fair price 10/11 (1.92).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Eintracht Frankfurt · last 6
TSG Hoffenheim · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw is 67% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Bundesliga table →Common questions
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler's model rates this match: Eintracht Frankfurt are favoured (43% win probability vs 33% for TSG Hoffenheim, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler's predicted score is Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 TSG Hoffenheim: the most likely score if Eintracht Frankfurt win, which is the likeliest result (43%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.7%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
How does Bawler predict Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Eintracht Frankfurt 43%, the draw 24% and TSG Hoffenheim 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 65% chance. That is based on Eintracht Frankfurt expecting 1.77 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 1.53.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 64%.
When are the Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim?
Both Teams to Score (65%), Over 22.5 Total Shots (77%), Younes Ebnoutalib 1+ Shot (90%), Adam Hložek 1+ Shot (91%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 52% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.92). 18+, please gamble responsibly.