How it finished
Hungary beat Ukraine 2–1. Ukraine had 17 shots (2 on target) to Hungary's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.3, so Ukraine created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Ukraine vs Hungary?
Hungary beat Ukraine 2–1. Ukraine had 17 shots (2 on target) to Hungary's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.3, so Ukraine created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Ukraine vs Hungary?
Ukraine 1–2 Hungary, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ukraine 34%, the draw 29% and Hungary 37%.
What were the stats in Ukraine vs Hungary?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.3, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Ukraine vs Hungary?
Yes — both Ukraine and Hungary scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.