Match prediction·Italy: Serie A·Saturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Udinese vs Como

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
24.1% home29.7% draw46.1% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
UdinesestepComo
1.07Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.07Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Udinese average 4.7 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Como average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
11
13
7
3
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
7
7
4
1
3
2
3
1
1
4
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Udinese fixtures & form →Como fixtures & form →

Udinese vs Como — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 April 2026, Udinese have won 0, Como have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 April 2026Udinese 0–0 ComoITALY: Serie A

The model's verdict for this fixture: Udinese 24% · draw 30% · Como 46%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Udinese predictions & form →Como predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.